NEW YORK (AP) — Donald Trump is seizing on his party’s frustration with the recent surge of illegal crossings at the southern U.S. border to churn up fears around another top GOP concern — voter fraud.
In the final stretch before Iowa’s caucuses next Monday, the former Republican president has repeatedly suggested that Democrats are encouraging migrants to flow into the country illegally in order to register them to vote in the 2024 election.
The unsupported claim, which Trump and other Republicans have carted out in past election years, is resonating with voters who agree that security is lacking at both the border and the polls. Experts say it also can be damaging, giving undue traction to false stereotypes and extremist ideologies such as the racist “ great replacement theory.”
The GOP frontrunner flicked at the idea of Democrats registering unauthorized migrants to vote at least twice over the weekend in Iowa.
“I think they really are doing it because they want to sign these people up to vote. I really do,” Trump said in Mason City on Friday. “They can’t speak a word of English for the most part, but they’re signing them up.”
The comments came after he posted recently on his Truth Social platform that “crazed” Democrats are allowing unvetted migrants into the country “so they can vote, vote vote.”
His message is welcome to some of Trump’s Iowa supporters who are still angry about the outcome of the 2020 election. Trump continues to promote the lie that widespread fraud cost him reelection, despite multiple audits, reviews and recounts in the battleground states where he disputed the results, dozens of failed legal challenges and his own attorney general saying there was no evidence to back up the claims.
Michell Harvilla, awaiting Trump’s appearance in Clinton, Iowa, on Saturday, said she “absolutely” believes Democrats favor allowing people into the country illegally to influence the 2024 election.
“I fully believe the last one was rigged,” said the 58-year-old middle school library and media director, who caucused for Ted Cruz in 2016 but voted for Trump twice.
Billionaire Elon Musk also has pushed the narrative on his social media platform X in recent days, claiming that Democrats are “importing voters.”
The Trump campaign didn’t immediately respond to an emailed request for comment. In response to an email directed to Musk, the platform sent only an automated response.
These claims ignore the facts around noncitizen voting in federal elections, which is illegal and remains exceedingly rare even as it is thoroughly scrutinized, according to Sean Morales-Doyle, director of voting rights at the Brennan Center for Justice.
Anyone registering to vote in the U.S. must attest under penalty of perjury that they are a U.S. citizen, Morales-Doyle said. Lying is punishable by fines, imprisonment and deportation, he said — such steep penalties that very few people are willing to accept the risk.
On top of that, federal law requires states to regularly maintain their voter rolls and remove anyone ineligible, a process that identifies immigrants living in the country illegally. Even with this and other vetting processes in place, only a small number of noncitizen voters have been uncovered — evidence that Trump’s theory has no teeth, Morales-Doyle said.
In 2017, the Brennan Center examined 42 local jurisdictions around the country in the 2016 election, including some of the most populous counties in Arizona, California, Florida and Texas. Of 23.5 million votes cast, election officials found only about 30 cases of potential noncitizen voting that they referred for prosecution or further investigation.
More recent investigations also haven’t shown proof of widespread noncitizen voting. A Georgia audit of its voter rolls conducted in 2022 found fewer than 2,000 instances of noncitizens attempting to register to vote for 25 years, none of which succeeded. Millions of new Georgia voters…
Read More: Trump suggests unauthorized migrants will vote. The idea stirs his base, but ignores reality