Welcome to The Ringer’s NBA Odds Machine for the 2021-22 season. Based on team strength as measured by point differential—a historically strong predictor of future success—with adjustments for individual wrinkles like injuries and schedules, the Odds Machine outlines postseason probabilities, including each team’s likelihood of making the playoffs and winning the title. The Odds Machine will update every day until a champion is crowned, so check back throughout the coming months as the league’s best teams battle for a title.
Play-in Game Odds
Favorite | Odds | Underdog | Odds | Expected Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|
Favorite | Odds | Underdog | Odds | Expected Margin |
Nets | 58% | Cavaliers | 42% | Nets by 2.5 |
Hawks | 58% | Hornets | 42% | Hawks by 3 |
Timberwolves | 63% | Clippers | 37% | Timberwolves by 4.5 |
Pelicans | 52% | Spurs | 48% | Pelicans by 0.5 |
We’re simulating the rest of the regular season—and postseason—every day. This chart shows each team’s likelihood of qualifying for the playoffs and winning the 2021-22 title.
Postseason Odds
Team | Playoffs | Title |
---|---|---|
Team | Playoffs | Title |
Celtics | 100% | 31% |
Suns | 100% | 24% |
Warriors | 100% | 10% |
Grizzlies | 100% | 9% |
Heat | 100% | 8% |
Jazz | 100% | 8% |
Bucks | 100% | 3% |
76ers | 100% | 2% |
Mavericks | 100% | 1% |
Raptors | 100% | 1% |
Nuggets | 100% | 1% |
Timberwolves | 85% | 1% |
Hawks | 26% | 1% |
Bulls | 100% | <1% |
Read More: The Ringer’s NBA Playoff and Lottery Odds Machine